KJs在翻前遭遇巨大加注,如何行动?
KJs在翻前遭遇巨大加注,如何行动?
牌局背景及过程
这手牌来自一场无限德州扑克锦标赛。盲注1200/2400,桌上玩家筹码量如图。翻前,前面玩家弃牌,CO玩家做了一个15000的巨大加注,按钮玩家弃牌,你在小盲位置拿着K♥ J♥,你会如何行动?
职业牌手的解析
再加注到全压是否有利可图通常取决于我们的牌对抗对手的范围有没有弃牌赢率。在这种场合,鉴于对手加注到15000而且我们只有约35000筹码,我们很可能没有弃牌赢率。
既然我们不能导致对手频繁弃牌,那么我们的决定归根到底就是是否用同花KJ去全压
如果我们全压并被跟注,底池总额将是76800。我们要冒34800筹码的风险,因此我们对抗对手的范围需要有34800/76800 = 45%的胜率。
鉴于对手极大的加注尺度,我们可能没有那么高的胜率。例如,对抗一个由22+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+和QJo组成的范围,我们的K♥ J♥仅有44%的胜率。
我们可以假定大多数牌手在加注超过6BB时甚至比那个范围更紧,特别是我们没有看到他把这个尺度当作标准加注尺度的时候。
因此,对抗这个加注尺度,我们应该弃牌。而如果对抗一个标准的3BB加注(或者更小),那么我们应该每次在这里再加注到全压。
综上所述,弃牌是最好的玩法。
FAQ
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